Edmonton Real Estate Blog

A new report will be greeted as a good news/bad news proposition for Canadians, depending on which side of the home ownership fence they currently reside. Good news for home owners, who can expect housing values to end 2009 at an average of $318,000, up five per cent from 2008; and bad news for those still waiting to break into the market, as prices are expected to rise another 2 per cent by the end of 2010 – the highest level in Canadian history. Where are home prices headed across the country? Click to find out.

Canada
Average price in 2007: $307,265
Average price in 2008: $303,594
Average price in 2009: $318,000
Change in ’09: +5%
Average price in 2010: $325,000
Change in ’10: +2%
Source: CREA, Local real estate boards, RE/MAX

Edmonton

Average price in 2007: $338,636
Average price in 2008: $332,852
Average price in 2009: $321,000
Change in ’09: -4%
Average price in 2010: $330,000
Change in ’10: +3%
Source: CREA, Local real estate boards, RE/MAX

Edmonton’s healthy residential housing market was the first to emerge from the depths of the recession, with sales surpassing year-to-date figures for 2008 in June 2009. Low interest rates, greater affordability, and pent-up demand were behind the push for real estate early in the year, as consumer confidence levels slowly escalated. First-time buyers snapped up entry-level product at significant cost savings. By October, momentum had reached the top-end of the market, with sales over $750,000 moving ahead of 2008 levels. Given the solid percentage increases reported since June, the number of homes sold by year-end is expected to climb to 20,500 units, up 18 per cent over 2008, and on par with 2007 figures. Average price, after peaking in 2007 at $338,636, has since stabilized at $321,000-down just four per cent from 2008 levels. The balanced residential marketplace took both realtors and consumers by surprise in 2009, many of whom hoped for the best but prepared for the worst. However, economic performance, with a 2.8 per cent decline in GDP growth forecast for 2009, has been less than stellar. The energy sector continues to battle back in Alberta-oil prices are on the upswing and forecast to rise further next year. While challenges still lie ahead, some positive industry developments, namely the Kearl oil sands project, are hoped to return to the oil sector to a growth cycle or at least off set recent contraction.

The good news is that real GDP is expected to climb three per cent in Alberta in 2010, bolstered by housing, new construction, a recovering oil and gas sector, and consumer spending. Oil prices are expected to hover around the $80 mark-which should serve to kick-start activity in the mega sand projects. Improving global demand for commodities is forecast to place upward pressure on prices, while rising confidence and more normal crop conditions should also have a positive impact on economic performance in 2010. Retail sales at 5.6 per cent will be one of the top performers in the country, falling just behind British Columbia and Saskatchewan. Unemployment levels hover at approximately 7.1 per cent.

Building on the real estate recovery already underway, the number of homes sold in Edmonton is expected to edge slightly higher in 2010, rising to 21,000, up two per cent over 2009. Housing values, finally on the upswing, should reach an estimated $330,000 by yearend 2010-a three per cent increase over one year earlier. Inventory levels-at about 5,500-are forecast to remain stable, representing a three to four month supply. Market conditions should be balanced throughout much of the year, leaning slightly in favour of the seller. First-time buyers are expected to once again play a significant role, stimulating activity in virtually every segment of the market. It’s anticipated that demand for condominiums will be constant, given their affordable entry-point. An influx of new conversion units in months ahead should be absorbed relatively quickly but fewer multi-unit housing starts in 2010 overall may apply some pressure to the resale market.

With barely a month to go before the end of the year, it is time to get your house in order. Herewith, your top 10 end-of-year tax tips:

1. Tax-loss selling

This is the practice of selling investments that are in a loss position at year-end in order to offset capital gains elsewhere in your portfolio. To guarantee that a trade of public securities is settled in 2009, the trade date must be Dec. 24, 2009, or earlier. This will make sure that the settlement takes place in 2009 and that any losses realized are available to the taxpayer this year. Any trade made after Dec. 24, 2009 will not settle until 2010, so those losses would not be available until next year.

2. Fix your house

The deadline is fast approaching to qualify for the home renovation tax credit (HRTC). The HRTC is a 15% tax credit for eligible renovation expenditures made to your home or vacation property. The credit applies to any amounts spent over $1,000, up to a maximum of $10,000, producing a maximum credit of $1,350.

Although the deadline for the credit is Jan. 31, 2010, the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has stated that as long as any materials you purchase to be used in a renovation are acquired by this deadline, they will qualify for the credit, even if they are installed after January 2010. The same, however, does not hold true for labour expenses, as only work completed before February 2010 will qualify for the credit, even if the amount is prepaid.

3. Turning 71 in 2009?

If so, you must convert your RRSP into either a Registered Retirement Income Fund (RRIF) or a registered annuity by Dec. 31. In addition, you only have until Dec. 31 to make your last RRSP contribution — if you plan to do so. You don’t have the advantage of delaying until March 1, 2010. If, however, you have a spouse or partner who is under 72, you can continue contributing to a spousal RRSP in his or her name, provided you still have contribution room.

4. Contribute to your children’s future

If you have a child or grandchild who has never participated as a beneficiary in a Registered Education Savings Plan and who turned 15 sometime in 2009, Dec. 31 is the last chance to contribute at least $2,000 to his or her RESP to be allowed to collect the 20% Canada Education Savings Grant for 2009 and create eligibility for the grant in 2010 and 2011. If you miss the deadline, the child or grandchild will not be eligible for any grants in the future.

5. Give big

Dec. 31 is also the last day to make a donation and get a tax receipt for 2009. Keep in mind that gifting publicly-traded securities with accrued capital gains to a registered charity or a private foundation not only entitles you to a tax receipt for the fair market value of the security being donated, but eliminates any capital gains tax as well.

6. Contribute to a registered disability savings plan (RDSP)

The RDSP is a tax-deferred registered savings plan open to Canadian residents eligible for the Disability Tax Credit, as well as their parents and other eligible contributors. Up to $200,000 can be invested within the plan with no annual contribution limits. While contributions are not tax deductible, all earnings and growth accrue on a tax-deferred basis. Contribute before the Dec. 31 deadline to qualify for the 2009 matching Canada Disability Savings Grant and potentially, the Canada Disability Savings Bond.

7. Splurge on office furniture

If you are self-employed or a small-business owner, consider accelerating the purchase of new business equipment or office furniture that you may have been planning to do in 2010. You are permitted to deduct under the “half-year rule,” one-half of a full year’s tax depreciation in 2009, even if you bought it on Dec. 31. For 2010, you can then proceed to claim a full year’s depreciation. For computer equipment purchased after Jan. 27, 2009 and before February 2011, you can write off 100% of the cost in the year of acquisition — with no half-year rule.

8. Consider a low, low loan

The government’s prescribed interest rate is set at the all-time low of 1% until at least Dec. 31, 2009, providing couples with a significant income-splitting opportunity. Under this strategy, the higher-income spouse loans funds to the lower-income spouse at 1%, with interest paid annually by Jan. 30 of the following year.

If the loan is made before Dec. 31 while the prescribed rate is 1%, any investment returns above the 1% rate can be taxed in the hands of the lower-income spouse. Note that even though the prescribed rate varies quarterly, you need only use the rate in effect at the time the loan was originally extended.

9. Pay investment expenses

To deduct any investment-related expenses on your 2009 tax return, the amounts must be actually paid by year-end. Such expenses include interest you paid on money borrowed for investing, investment counselling fees for non-RRSP accounts, professional accounting services for tracking rental or business income and safety deposit box rental fees.

10. Get a head start for 2010

If you routinely get a large tax refund each spring due to RRSP contributions or child-care deductions, the CRA can authorize your employer to reduce the amount of income tax withheld on your employment income. Send a completed CRA Form T1213 “Request to Reduce Tax Deductions at Source,” with all supporting documents to the Client Services Division of your local tax services office.

 Financial Post

Gross domestic product sees first gain in a year in Q3, signals recession’s end

OTTAWA – Canada’s real gross domestic product grew 0.1 per cent in the third quarter, the first quarterly gain since the third quarter of 2008 and a signal – if a feeble one – that the recession has ended.

Statistics Canada reported Monday that the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 0.4 per cent in the third quarter, compared with a 2.8 per cent increase for the U.S. economy.

The first overall economic growth in a year marks an end to the recession, which is defined as at least two back-to-back quarters of contraction.

While it is the first indication Canada’s economy is again beginning to grow after begin battered alongside the rest of the world during the economic meltdown that saw the failure of U.S. banks, ravaged corporate profits and lengthened unemployment lines, it is “not exactly a clanging endorsement of the ‘end of recession’ story,” said Douglas Porter, Bank of Montreal’s deputy economist.

“While the quarterly gain for the third quarter was a bit of a damp squib, this doesn’t alter the bigger picture that the Canadian economy is erratically grinding out of recession, led by broad-based gains in domestic spending,” Porter wrote in a note to clients.

“With the solid hand-off from the sturdy September result and mounting signs that the U.S. recovery is taking root, look for much more convincing evidence that the recession is over in fourth-quarter GDP results. Still, the broader picture of a relatively muted recovery remains the dominant theme.”

The agency says final domestic demand advanced 1.2 per cent, as capital investment and personal expenditures both increased.

Real GDP was up 0.4 per cent in September, as most major industrial sectors increased their production.

Final domestic demand was bolstered by a second consecutive quarterly gain in personal expenditures and the first expansion in business capital expenditure since the fourth quarter of 2007.

Export and import volumes both increased after many quarters of decline.

The output of services-producing industries increased 0.6 per cent, with the wholesale and retail trade sectors and real-estate agents and brokers leading the way.

Goods-producing industries slipped 1.4 per cent, continuing a downward trend that started in the third quarter of 2007.

Mining and oil-and-gas extraction contributed the most to the decrease as a result of temporary shutdowns.

Source: THE CANADIAN PRESS, cp.org, Updated: November 30, 2009 9:20 AM

Monthly MLS® home sales activity continues to run strong, with new monthly records set in July, September and October. This has prompted CREA to revise its MLS® home sales forecast for 2009 and 2010.

CREA now forecasts national activity will reach 460,200 units in 2009, up 6.6% from last year. The new sales forecast for 2009 puts activity about on par with annual activity in 2004, but below levels reported for the years 2005 through 2007. Alberta, Saskatchewan, Quebec and Prince Edward Island are also now forecast to post an annual increase in activity in 2009.

National MLS® home sales activity is forecast to rise 7% to 492,300 units in 2010. This would make 2010 the second highest year on record for sales, putting activity below the peak reached in 2007 and slightly above the 2005 and 2006 figures. The forecast increase in activity for 2010 reflects significant weakness in activity recorded in the first quarter of 2009. Monthly activity in 2010 is expected to trend downward from recent heights, but the sharp drop inactivity recorded in the in the first quarter of 2009 is not expected to repeat in 2010.

The national MLS® average home price is forecast to climb 4.2% in 2009, reaching a record $317,900. This is an upward revision from the 1.5% gain in CREA’s previous forecast and reflects the high degree to which the national average price was skewed downward last year by a significant decline in activity in Canada’s priciest markets, and then upward by the rebound in activity.

Alberta remains the only province with a forecast decline in average price in 2009 (-3.0%). Average prices are forecast to rise in all other provinces, with gains ranging from 1.5% in British Columbia to 13.1% in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Average prices are forecast to climb a further 4.7% in 2010. Much of the annual increase reflects weakness in the average price in first quarter of 2009, which is not expected to repeat in 2010. Average sale prices are forecast to rise in every province in 2010.

Source: CREA

 Job seekers at an employment office in September. The number of Canadians receiving EI benefits was up more than 7 per cent during the month. (Canadian Press)

EI recipients up 7.1% in September

The largest increases were in Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia, Statistics Canada said Tuesday.

The total number of beneficiaries reached 818,000, up 63.5 per cent from October 2008, when the agency says employment hit its peak.

The number of people receiving EI had increased sharply between October and June, before moving onto a downward trajectory.

Several cities recorded more than double the number of beneficiaries than a year ago, with the fastest year-over-year increases in Calgary and Edmonton.