Edmonton Real Estate Blog

Today (June 21, 2012), the federal government announced amendments to government-backed mortgage standards in Canada that will take effect on July 9, 2012. These changes will make it more difficult to qualify for a mortgage, and will reduce the mortgage amount that you will be able to get. Buy now before the changes come into affect.

Jim Flaherty, Minister of Finance, announced the following changes to the standards governing government-backed insured mortgages:

the maximum amortization period was reduced from 30 years to 25 years;  the maximum amount Canadians can withdraw in refinancing their mortgages was lowered to 80 per cent from 85 per cent of the value of their homes; the maximum gross debt service ratio was fixed at 39 per cent and the maximum total debt service ratio at 44 per cent; and the availability of government-backed insured mortgages was limited to homes with a purchase price of less
than $1 million.

Better buy now before the mortgage rule changes making it more difficult to buy a home, and making it less affordable.

http://business.financialpost.com/2012/06/21/ottawa-tightens-mortgage-rules-what-the-analysts-say/

I am excited to announce that we are now proud members of the Edmonton Chamber of Commerce

The month of May is almost over and a review of the number of listings and sales of single family homes in Edmonton proper show a very robust market.

Currently there are 3,094 single family homes listed in Edmonton proper. That is a healthy level of inventory on the market giving buyers ample homes to choose from.

The number of sales has been on the rise. In the previous 30 days there have been 1,062 single family homes sold in Edmonton proper.

With this level of homes available for sale, and the number of sales that have taken place in the previous 30 days this would give us a listings to sales ratio of 2.91:1. This low of a level has not been seen for some time in Edmonton. Also with a ratio so much below the 4:1 that we need in Edmonton for a neutral or balanced market there is going to be substantial pressure for home valuations to rise.

Buyers should not put off buying a home before house prices go up any further.

* Information source: The Realtors Assc. Of Edmonton as of May 30, 2012.

Canada’s economy is gradually recovering and is expected to grow by 2.25 % this year and 2.5 % in 2013, according to a new report by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.

Private consumption and investment will continue to be the primary drivers of growth in Canada, said the report, which was published Tuesday.

Canada’s growth will slightly outpace the OECD average, which is expected to be 1.6% in 2012 and 2.2% in 2013.

Source: National Post – May 22, 2012

According RBC Economic Report thing look bright for Alberta for the next couple of years.

Here is an a portion of that report as it pertains to Alberta.

On a fast track

Amid the heightenedeconomic uncertainty spreading globally in the past severalmonths, Alberta’s
steady progress toward full recovery from the recession is refreshing. Overcoming obstacles of its own—chief among them the wildfires that caused significant economic disruptions in May—the provincial economy is now displaying the stuff that made it a growth powerhouse a little more than half a decade ago. Impressed by the performance to date, we upgraded our call for Alberta’s real GDP growth
to 4.0% this year, which is a pace that we believe will be largelysustained in both 2012 and 2013, at 3.9% and 3.8%, respectively. Were it not for the even stronger performance by Saskatchewan, Alberta would recapture the crown of Canada’s fastest growing provincial economy.

Job market booming

With the oil industry buzzing like it was in 2006 and serving as a catalyst for activity in other sectors, Alberta’s job market is booming. In the first 11 monthsof this year, there have been 98,000 net new jobs created in the province, representing the best tally since 2006. The gain could well cross the 100,000 mark when all is said and done in 2011, which would set a new record for Alberta. What is most
impressive about this supercharged job market is that gains are broadly based across industries. The energy sector is directly responsible for only a small portion of these gains. Small to moderate advances are being registered in the vast majority of industries. Moreover, the boom entirely emanates from the private sector, which is the source of an astounding 116,000 new jobs this year. Such strength easily made up for declines in the public sector and among the self-employed.

Albertaconsumers spending big

With job prospects improving so quickly and confidence rebuilding, Alberta consumers have been big spenders in 2011. Retail sales in the province have increased at one of the faster rate in the country, with big ticket items such as motor vehiclesenjoying further resurgence from their recessionary lows. We expect that favourable labour market conditions—we project employment to rise by a nation-leading
3.1% next year—will continue to support such positive consumer spending trend in 2012.

Non-conventional crude production setting new records

Generally, the outlook for the Alberta economy remains very bright (notwithstanding the higher risks that face virtually all global economies). Oil production in the province has now fully recovered from the disruptions caused by the wildfires in May and is now on a record pace. We expect that, with more oilsands capacity continuing to be added, non-conventional crude output will set new highs in the
period ahead. Pipeline capacity issues—the topic of much debate in the United States in the past several months that ultimately resulted in delaying the approval decision on the Keystone XL project—might create some transportation bottlenecks to U.S. refineries by 2013, which could restraingrowth in the
province’s exports that year.

Alberta’s oilsands: a boon for years to come

Meanwhile, work on several oilsands megaprojects is proceeding and will continue to generate tremendous economic activity in the province. There is an inventory of $120 billion worth of oilsands projects at various stages of development currently; and given the strong commitment by all stakeholders to build this resource, it will be a boon to Alberta’s economy for years to come.

Source: RBC Economic Report, Dec. 2011

Great News!!! I just passed my final exam with a test score of 94% as the first step in earning my “Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist” designation. I am now member of “The Institute of Luxury Marketing”

Edmonton, February 2, 2010: Single family homes sold through the Edmonton Multiple Listing Service® System sold on average for the same amount in January as at year-end while condominium prices dipped 2%. Month-to-month sales slowed by 6.8% as compared to December but the number of new listings in January doubled the December numbers. 

The average* residential price was $314,783 for January, down 1.4% from last month and down just 0.7% from a year ago. Single family home prices on average were stable increasing minutely from $366,761 in December to $367,747 in January. Condominium prices dipped just 2% in the month from $244,174 to $239,006. Duplex and rowhouse prices were up 1.5% to $300,563.

“There will be month-to-month fluctuations in prices for all types of properties,” said Larry Westergard, president of the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. “We expect that the local market will continue to be robust and prices will trend upwards through the year.”

Compared to December, housing sales were down in January with 524 single family sales and 288 condominium sales. Total residential sales were 884 units – 154 ahead of last January. There were 2,199 residential listings added during January resulting in a 40% sales-to-listing ratio and a month-end inventory of 4,864 homes. The average days-on-market was 57 days. Total sales (including residential, commercial and rural properties) in January were valued at $315 million (up 19% from last year).

“While the low prices may have motivated some buyers, the continuing low interest rates are probably a bigger factor for first time and repeat buyers,” said Westergard. “The inventory increase shows that current owners are poised to enter the market and to offer their homes for sale. Buyers and sellers should consult their REALTOR® to work out an appropriate strategy for their situation.”

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Highlights of MLS® activity

¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
². Single Family Dwelling
³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices

* Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect actual prices, which may vary.

Source: REALTORS® Association of Edmonton

Well I hope you all had a Happy Holiday!! Now it is time to start thinking about what might happen in the New Year. Current data that I use to forecast the market are skewed right now because of the holiday season so we will wait until we have new data next month to see where the market is going.

It seems the consensus that home values will go up in the New Year, but I don’t think that it will be as much as most people think.

Yes, there are parts of Canada that the market is really getting hot again – but that is only because their home values had dropped more than we had, and their economies were more depressed than what we had experienced here in Edmonton, and Alberta for that matter.

The recovery in the USA isn’t going as well as most people had hoped, and that will slow down any recovery we have here in Canada as they are our biggest trading partner.

I think we will more likely to see a 5% increase in home values as that would be more realistic. We might be able to get lucky and get up to 10%.

But this all could be brought to a halt or slow down as the finance minister is worried that Canadian people have taken on more debt than they ever have in the past. He is thinking about possibly making changes that will affect mortgages and real estate.

Some of the changes they are considering are raising the amount of down payment up from the current 5% to at least 10%. They are also talking about shortening the amortization period from the current 35 years. Another expectation is that the interest rates will be going up this year.

These factors will have a great impact on the ability for people to buy homes, especially for first time buyers. They will now have to wait longer to save for a down payment and they will now qualify for less of a home because of the lower amortization period.

The real estate cycle starts with the first time buyer. They need to get into the market so that everyone else can sell their home and move up into a bigger or more expensive home.

In my opinion if any of these changes are implemented you can expect the real estate market to slow down and curb the chances of valuations to go up.

So if you are a first time buyer I would advise you to do everything in your power to buy sooner than later. We might be able to help you with this process including helping you to get pre-approved with the lowest rates possible ( in many cases lower than the banks), and we can send you a first time buyer package.

To receive the package call Kate at my office at 780-643-8151 or send her an e-mail @ teamleadingedge@shaw.ca

Lets see what this month will give us and hopefully we will have a better indication as to what we can expect in this springs marketplace, and that is my two cents… Serge

Edmonton, January 5, 2010: Residential sales through the Edmonton Multiple Listing Service® were at the second highest level ever for December (after a record number of sales in 2006 of 1,074). Sales of single family homes, condominiums, duplexes and other residential property totalled 948 units for the month. Total sales of all types of real estate for December was 1,066, also a second place finish for monthly sales.

The price of residential property remained stable in December with single family homes dropping just  one third of a percent and condos increasing 5.4% to reverse the 2.5% drop in November. An average* priced single family property in the Edmonton area sold for $366,761 in December; down from $368,018 in November. The average price for a condo was $244,174; up from $231,684 the previous month. The all-residential average price at the end of December was $319,201.

“Strong year-end sales put a crown on a year that started slow but ended big,” said Charlie Ponde, president of the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. “We entered 2009 with a global recession at our backs and a real estate meltdown to the south. However consumer confidence in Alberta started to return in the second quarter and the real estate market in Edmonton was the first place in the country to show signs of the recovery.”

There were 19,139 residential sales in 2009 with record setting sales in June and July after the slowest start since 1996. From September to December residential sales were just below record sales set in 2006.

Throughout the year the average single family sale prices varied from a low of $347,000 in February to $373,000 in July; a $26,000 or 7.5% spread. The average year-to-date value was $364,032. Condo prices varied within a 9% range from $227,000 in February to $247,000 in June. The average year-to-date price was $240,322.

There were 1,118 homes listed in December resulting in a sales-to-listing ratio of 85%. The average days-on-market was 50 days and total residential sales were valued at $302 million for the month. Overall, the MLS® System had total sales of all types of property of just under $7 billion in 2009 as compared to $6.6 billion in 2008.

“We predicted residential sales of 15,550 this year and exceeded it in early October,” said Ponde. “We anticipated that single family prices would end the year at $352,000 and condos would be at $222,500. We are pleased that the year ended up better than we had anticipated and look forward to the stable market continuing into the next decade.”

Source: REALTORS® Association of Edmonton