Edmonton Real Estate Blog

To view the video for Edmonton’s First Time Buyer report just click on the following link:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_djccXIHN8

Canadian new home prices rose more than expected in January and hit a record high, but the pace of growth was the slowest since March, adding to evidence that the housing sector is starting to cool.

But that was nation wide and things are a little different here in Alberta. There is just too much going on in the oil and gas industry that going to keep the Alberta economy very strong.

So I do expect prices of homes but new and resale to rise during the balance of this year and next year as well.

It is looking like the Edmonton real estate market is improving. As of this morning there were 2,188 single family homes for sale in Edmonton proper. More importantly there has been 557 sales in the previous 30 days. That gives us a lsting to sales ratio of 3.93:1 which is basically at the level we need for the market the stabilize and become neutral. With this kind of ratio we can expect prices valuations to stop falling and normalize.

I anticipate as we get more along into our spring marketplace that we might see this ratio drop and if we do expect valuations to start to rise again. So if you are thinking of buying to hesitate do it now, especially before the mortgage rule changes on March 18th.

Last week I was really excited to see the listing to sales ratio drop below the 4:1 ratio that we need for a neutral or balance market. I guess that was short lived because that ratio did not stay below the 4:1 ratio.

As of today there are 2,174 single family homes listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service for sale in Edmonton proper. In the last 30 days there were 496 sales a slight drop from the previous week. This will give us a listing to sales ratio of 4.38:1 slightly higher than what we need for a balance or neutral market.

With the ratio bouncing just over and just under the benchmark ratio it is indicating to me that the market is not sure which directions it wants to go so we will probably see a fairly stable valuation of homes for the time being.

Once I see at least 3 consecutive weeks of the ratio being one direction of other we will not really know which way it is going.

Well folks I am back from my trip to China and I am here to let you know what is happening to the Edmonton real estate market.

As of today “Valentine’s Day” there are 2, 034 single family dwellings for sale in Edmonton proper. That is a much lower number of listings than we were seeing at the end of last year which I see as a positive sign.

However in the last 30 days there has been only 429 single family dwellings sold in Edmonton proper. This is also a drop from the volume of sales that we were seeing at the end of 2010.

This gives us a listing to sales ratio of 4.74:1.  That ratio is still a little bit high.  If you remember we need a ratio of 4:1 for a neutral or balanced market.  So based on this ratio in the short term I still expect that there will be some downward pressure on valuations and only those homes that are priced very competitively are going to be the ones that sell.

I think that we might see this change soon as we see the buyers come back to the market as we get deeper into this early spring market.

This has been a year of ups and downs as we saw house values increase in value from January until the beginning of June. We did however see valuations drop about 10% since that time giving back any gains that we might have made in the beginning of the New Year.

The good news is that the listing to sales ratio has drastically improved in the last month. As of today December 13th, 2010 there are 2265 single family homes for sale in Edmonton proper. In the past 30 days there have been 525 single family homes sold in Edmonton proper.

This would give us a listings to sales ratio of 4.31:1. That is a significant improvement over the ratio hovering around the 6:1 that we saw last month and is basically at the 4:1 ratio that we need for a balanced or neutral market.

The window of opportunity is closing for people thinking of buying. With the oil and gas industry going so strong right now I am fully expecting this ratio to drop over the next 3 months and we will start seeing valuations increase.

If you don’t buy now you will probably have to pay more money for your next home come the New Year.

That is my last two cents until the New Year. I would like to wish everyone a Happy Holidays and a prosperous New Year.

 Make sure to read our BLOG every week to see how the trend changes.

As we enter our spring marketplace we are seeing the market continue to be strong.  As of this afternoon April 08, 2010 there are 2,348 single family homes listed in Edmonton proper.  That is up slightly from last week’s number of 2,240 available homes for sale.

In the past 30 days we have seen 749 single family homes sold.  That is up from last week’s number of 661 sales in the previous 30 days.  That is a significant increase for a one week period.

What is more important is the listings to sales ratios.  That ratio is now 3.13:1, lower than the 3.31:1 ratio that we had the previous week.  This indicates to me that we are still going to see continue upward pressure on valuations.

If you are thinking about buying this year you might want to consider buying right away.  You have two threats that you have to consider if you have been thinking of buying.  Firstly, we know that there is pressure for prices to continue to go up.  Waiting will mean you will have to pay more for that home you want.  Secondly, there is the expectation that interest rates will go up again this summer.  If this happens it will make your mortgage payments more expensive and will reduce the amount of a mortgage that you will be able to qualify for.  The new mortgage rule changes require that you be approved at the 5 year rate regardless which term you choose.

If you are thinking about moving up to a larger, more expensive home, again you want to make the move as soon as possible.  Yes, your home will go up in value, but your future home will have gone up more significantly that your current home.  The end result is that you will have to carry a larger mortgage by waiting for your home to get to a higher value.

This is my two cents for this month.  

If you have any questions please don’t hesitate to call.  I would love to help you. (780) 634-8151

Edmonton, April 6, 2010: Housing figures released by the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton for March and the first quarter of 2010 show that resale housing prices are up; listings and sales are up.

“There is consumer confidence in this market and both buyers and sellers appear eager to enter the housing market,” said Larry Westergard, president of the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. “Prices are up about 10% from a year ago and sellers are eager to take advantage. Buyers are aware of higher mortgage rates ahead and are getting into the market before the rates rise.”

Single family residences in the Edmonton area sold on average* for $388,473 in March which is up 4.7% from February and 11% from a year ago. Condominium prices rose by 8.4% month-over-month and 10.5% year-over-year. The average condominium sold for $252,416 in March. Duplex and rowhouse prices (at $313,836) dropped a third of a percent in March but were up 10.4% from a year ago. The average residential price was $343,607 (up month-over-month by 8.5%).

Sales also demonstrated the optimism of the marketplace. 3,728 residential listings in March were up over 30% from a year ago and up 246% in the first quarter. Residential sales of 1,571 properties in March were up 15.1% from a year ago and 77.3% in the first quarter. Sales were up from 1,307 in February: a 20.2% increase. The March sales-to-listing ratio was 42%; down from 52% in February.

“Seller activity has boosted the inventory to 6,770 residential properties,” said Westergard. “I am less concerned about available inventory now than I was at the beginning of the year. I think the market has reached a balance between buyers and sellers.”

All major banks raised their fixed mortgage rates in late March and the Bank of Canada has warned that interest rates will rise again after the second quarter. Many buyers are hurrying to lock in rates and find a home before the more stringent qualification requirements for mortgages come into effect on April 19. Alberta will not be influenced by the GST harmonization taking place in Ontario and BC so we may not see the sales slump in the second quarter that is expected in those two provinces.

The average days-on-market in March was 41 as compared to 47 in February.

-30-

Highlights of MLS® activity

¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
². Single Family Dwelling
³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices

* Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect actual prices, which may vary.

Source: REALTORS® Association of Edmonton

Well it is appearing that the Edmonton real estate market might be stabilizing.  As of this morning there were 2,240 single family homes for sale in Edmonton proper.  That is an increase of 113 homes over last week.

In the past 30 days there were 661 single family homes sold in Edmonton proper.  That is an increase of 42 homes sold over what sold in the previous 30 day period.  That will give us a listing to sales ratio of 3.39:1, which is slightly better than last week, but I would be cautious to think valuations are going to rise again.  I think we are going to see more stabilization at this time unless we start seeing the ratio drop further in the coming weeks.

Please call me if you have any questions about this, or anything else related to Real Estate.

I would love to help you out. (780) 634-8151 

Serge Bourgoin, Founding and Managing partner of Team Leading Edge at RE/MAX Elite 

Team Leading Edge… Leading the way with extraordinary service

As I anticipated, the trend is continuing.   The number of listings coming on the market is outpacing the number of sales.  As of this morning there were 2,127 single family dwellings in Edmonton proper on the market an increase from last week’s inventory level of 2,003. 

In the last 30 days we had 615 single family dwellings sold in Edmonton proper.  That number is actually down from last week’s number of sales of 619. 

This gives us listings to sales ratio of 3.46:1 up again from last week’s ratio of 3.24:1.  So the pressure for valuations to rise is easing and could very well go the ratio of 4:1 very soon.  If we break that we can start seeing valuations drop. 

Please call me if you have any questions about this, or anything else related to Real Estate.

I would love to help you out. (780) 634-8151 

Serge Bourgoin, Founding and Managing partner of Team Leading Edge at RE/MAX Elite 

Team Leading Edge… Leading the way with extraordinary service