Edmonton Real Estate Blog

Any dark clouds that are currently hanging over Alberta will clear by 2014, paving the way for strong business and consumer activity, says a report by RBC Economics.

The bank’s latest Provincial Outlook, released Tuesday, said the province’s economy will continue its “impressive boom” through 2013, after leading the country’s economic growth in 2012, despite facing challenges.

RBC forecasts a provincial real GDP growth rate of three per cent due to strong crude oil production as well as high levels of capital investment, employment and population growth. This will be second in the country behind the 5.1 per cent growth expected in Newfoundland & Labrador.

RBC is predicting Alberta will lead the country in economic growth of 4.2 per cent in 2014.

In December, RBC forecast growth of 3.5 per cent this year for the province. The forecast for 2014 has remained the same.

“Even though the province recently announced a $2 billion budget deficit, Alberta is unquestionably in the midst of an impressive economic boom – particularly with capital investment fuelling manufacturing and wholesalers’ sales. Attractive employment opportunities are also bringing new migrants to the province, boosting population growth and in turn, consumer spending,” said Craig Wright, senior vice-president and chief economist at RBC. “As the economy continues to thrive across the majority of key industries, Alberta will remain at the top-end of Canada’s economic growth rankings this year.”

Economic growth in the province in 2011 was 5.1 per cent followed by 3.5 per cent last year.

Todd Hirsch, senior economist with ATB Financial, said Alberta’s economy is moderating somewhat.

“So I think we will see probably a slower year for growth than what we saw in 2011 or 2012,” said Hirsch. “A lot of that of course prompted by those softer energy prices and maybe a little bit of pullback by the provincial government. But I think we’re still going to see kind of a nice moderate healthy level of growth of around 2.5 to three per cent.

“Going forward beyond that it gets trickier and we don’t really do forecasts beyond 2013 but I would still see 2014 as a pretty good year … It’s not going to feel quite like the boom years of 2006, 2007 either. We’re just going to have nice healthy moderate growth.”

RBC said there are a few weak spots in Alberta’s economic outlook. Investment intentions in the oil and gas sector are essentially flat for 2013. RBC said Alberta’s energy developers’ plans are being weighed down by rapidly rising energy production in the U.S., pipeline bottlenecks and the ‘bitumen bubble’, all of which contributed to lower crude oil prices in Canada relative to global benchmarks late in 2012.

“Weaker than expected oil prices put a multibillion dollar hole in Alberta government’s revenues, and led to a 2013 provincial budget that detailed renewed public sector spending restraint,” said Wright. “Still, any pullback in capital spending will be short-lived as pipeline issues are addressed and crude oil price relationships normalize.”

RBC trimmed its real GDP growth forecast for Canada to 1.8 per cent through 2013, following softer-than-expected growth in 2012. For 2014, it is forecasting 2.9 per cent growth across the country. In December, it forecast growth of 2.4 per cent this year and 2.8 per cent in 2014.

“After boasting a relatively strong economic performance over the past several years, Canada’s economy hit a speed bump in late 2012,” said Wright. “That said, financial conditions continue to support growth. As confidence recovers, business spending should accelerate, albeit at a less rapid pace than we saw in the early days of expansion.”

Source: Calgary Herald

Edmonton’s Rutherford Area Real Estate Listings and Sales statistics from your Team Leading Edge Rutherford specialist… Serge Bourgoin

To view and search all Edmonton and are MLS listed homes for sale visit us at www.EdmontonHomesForSale.biz

Edmonton’s Magrath Heights Area Real Estate Listings and Sales statistics from your Team Leading Edge Magrath Heights specialist… Serge Bourgoin

To view and search all Edmonton and are MLS listed homes for sale visit us at www.EdmontonHomesForSale.biz

From your Team Leading Edge MacTaggart specialist… Serge Bourgoin

To view and search all Edmonton and are MLS listed homes for sale visit us at www.EdmontonHomesForSale.biz

From your Team Leading Edge Windermere specialist… Serge Bourgoin

To view and search all Edmonton and are MLS listed homes for sale visit us at www.EdmontonHomesForSale.biz

It hasn’t been the worst winter we’ve seen in Edmonton, but we’re all still anxiously waiting for spring to arrive. This year, the Real Estate market in the area decided not to wait, and began showing signs of spring in February. Sales and listings always heat up as the weather warms, but this year, buyers and sellers came out of hibernation just a little early. In February, we saw listing activity increase by 10% over January. Sales activity was even stronger, increasing 18.2% over the first month of the year. That puts our sales-to-listing ratio for the month at about 55%, 4% higher than the same time last year. While that means fewer properties were listed than sold, there’s still more than four months’ worth of supply available. With strong prices fueling activity, we can expect to see more sellers make the decision to enter the market in the coming months.
Things always tend to heat up in real estate as we hit spring. This year, spring sales activity seems to have arrived just a little ahead of spring weather. To get the best sense of which way the wind is blowing in real estate and what it could mean for you, talk to your local REALTOR® –here when life happens.

Source: Real Estate Association of Edmonton

The New Year has started strong for the Edmonton real estate market. On a regular basis I am seeing realtors promoting the sale of their new listings within days or even hours. So is this the beginning of another real estate boom in Edmonton? Everyone is commenting on the shortage of inventory. That is always a sign of things to come.

This morning I looked at how many single family homes were for sale in Edmonton proper. The number of homes at 1,776 is significantly lower than what we would normally see, which supports the claim that there is a shortage of inventory.

The other important fact is the number of sales that have occurred in the last 30 days. In Edmonton proper there were 549 single family homes sold. That in itself is a fairly normal number of homes sold for this time of year.

What makes these numbers important is the ratio that they generate for us. We know that in Edmonton to a stable or neutral market we need a listings to sales ratio of 4:1. Meaning there are 4 homes listed for every sale that occurs in the previous 30 days.

With the current market condition with 1,776 listings and 549 sales that would give us a listings to sales ratio of 3.23:1 far below the 4:1 that we need for a balance market. This indicates that we are going to have upward pressure on Edmonton real estate values in the incoming days.

So do expect house prices to start to rise. If you are thinking about buying this year, you may want to move your time table up now before prices rise too much, and while we have low rates like 2.89% for a 5 year term.

Call us today if you have been thinking of buying or need to get pre-approved for a mortgage. 780-634-8151.

Edmonton, February 4, 2013: Year-over-year average prices and sales were up for most types of residential property in the Edmonton Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) in January. Single Family Dwelling (SFD) average prices were down 1.93% from December but up 7.7% when compared to January 2012. Condominium prices were also down (-3.1%) month-over-month but up 1.7% year-over-year. The all-residential price was up year-over-year at $328,525 (up 2.5%). The average price for an SFD was $399,832. An average condo was priced at $216,139, while a duplex/row house was priced at $328,351 on average. The all-residential average price in the Edmonton CMA was $328,525 as compared to $320,482 in January 2012.

The 2013 year started off with a residential sales increase of 27 (25) units over the previous year. There were an estimated 921 (853 reported) residential sales in the Edmonton CMA and an estimated total of 1,084 (1,005 reported) sales of all types of property. SFD sales were down 1.4% from a year ago at 536 estimated (496 reported) sales. Condo and duplex/row house sales took up the slack with an estimated 286 (265 reported) condo sales (up 30.7%) and duplex/row house estimated sales of 64 (59 reported) units (up 24.9%).

“If there is an impending national housing crash, it is not evident in Edmonton,” said President Darrell Cook. “The number of price reductions is 4% lower than the same month last year.” The number of residential properties in the City of Edmonton that sold at or over list price rose from 9% in January 2012 to 12.6% this year. “This indicates that homes are appropriately priced for the market and that more home sellers are holding firm to their asking price,” said Cook.

The average days-on-market was 74 and the sales-to-listing ratio ended the month at 47%. There are currently 3,743 residential properties in inventory in the Edmonton CMA. This is lower than the five-year average for January (4,324) but still represents a 4.4 month supply at current sales levels.

REALTORS® changed their statistics reporting format this month. Sales and average price figures are given for the Edmonton CMA which includes the City of Edmonton and about 40 surrounding municipalities as defined by Statistics Canada. Then, because sales in the City of Edmonton account for about 75% of all sales, the figures are given for Edmonton only. Finally, communities and counties outside the CMA are not forgotten. The number of sales for each municipality along with average/median prices and total value of sales are provided in the Total Board section. All three reports are attached.

“All real estate is local,” said Cook. “It is important that we provide statistics that are relevant to each specific location. REALTORS® can provide their clients with more granularity or more specific details at the neighbourhood level.”

-30-

Highlights of MLS® System activity

1 Census Metropolitan Area (Edmonton and surrounding municipalities)
2 Single Family Dwelling
3 The total value of sales in a category divided by the number of properties sold
4 The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
5 Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
6 Includes residential, rural and commercial sales

source: Realtors Association of Edmonton

Edmonton, October 2, 2012: The REALTORS® Association of Edmonton reports that residential listings and sales have trended lower in the third quarter after an active start to the year. In September, there were 1,269 residential sales in the greater Edmonton market as compared to 1,442 in September 2011. Despite the recent cooling trend, residential sales year-to-date are still up 7.2% as compared to last year at this time. There have been 14,565 residential sales to the end of the third quarter as compared to just 13,729 last year.

“There were changes to the mortgage qualification rules in March,” said REALTORS® Association of Edmonton President Doug Singleton. “We did not see an effect on the local market at that time but it seems to have had a cooling effect in the past quarter.”

The average1 price for a single family dwelling (SFD) has remained higher than last year for each of the past nine months. In September, the SFD average price of $376,678 was up just 0.23% from the previous year and is up 2.78% from the January 1 price. The all-residential average price is down 2.6% from last year at $323,369. This is the first month this year that the all-res price has dipped below the 2011 figure for the same month.

Condominium and duplex/rowhouse prices are more volatile and vary widely from month to month. In September average condo prices were down 3.1% ($229,246) while duplex/townhouse prices on average were up 2.75% ($307,739). Still, after nine months both current prices are up from the January 1, 2012 prices for the category.

Total MLS® System listings this year are up 104 units as compared to last year at 33,295 properties but Total MLS® System year-to-date sales are 16,487 units as compared to 15,378 at the end of the third quarter in 2011. There are 6,956 residential properties in the inventory compared to the 8,062 last year at this time. Rural and commercial property sales are both up marginally compared to last year although listings have dropped. The residential sales-to-listing ratio was down from 56.7% to 52.3% and residential days-on-market was up to 59 in September from 54 in August.

“Sales always fall month-to-month at the end of the year; that’s just normal market fluctuation,” said Singleton. “But overall, the market has been stable with little market advantage for either buyers or sellers. Edmonton is still one of the best places in North America to own property and I urge consumers to talk to their local REALTOR® when they are in a position to buy or sell property.”

Activity (for all residential sales on Edmonton MLS® System)

¹ The total value of sales in a category divided by the number of properties sold
² Single Family Dwelling
³ The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
⁴ Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
⁵ Includes residential, rural and commercial sales

¹ Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect actual changes for a particular property, which may vary from house to house and area to area. Prior period figures have been adjusted to include late reported sales and cancellations and therefore reflect a more accurate view of the period than previously reported at month end. The RAE trading area includes communities beyond the CMA (Census Metropolitan Area) and therefore average and median prices may include sold properties outside the CMA.

The month of May is almost over and a review of the number of listings and sales of single family homes in Edmonton proper show a very robust market.

Currently there are 3,094 single family homes listed in Edmonton proper. That is a healthy level of inventory on the market giving buyers ample homes to choose from.

The number of sales has been on the rise. In the previous 30 days there have been 1,062 single family homes sold in Edmonton proper.

With this level of homes available for sale, and the number of sales that have taken place in the previous 30 days this would give us a listings to sales ratio of 2.91:1. This low of a level has not been seen for some time in Edmonton. Also with a ratio so much below the 4:1 that we need in Edmonton for a neutral or balanced market there is going to be substantial pressure for home valuations to rise.

Buyers should not put off buying a home before house prices go up any further.

* Information source: The Realtors Assc. Of Edmonton as of May 30, 2012.