Edmonton, November 3, 2009: Resale housing sales continued their strong trend through October with sales of all housing types through the Multiple Listing Service® in October at the second highest level on record (after October 2006). There were 1,535 residential properties sold in October; up 23% from 2008 but down almost 10% from last month which follows the normal seasonal trend of month to month sales dropping through the fall.

“The housing market in Edmonton and area is still robust,” said Charlie Ponde, president of the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. “Homebuyers are confident about their future prospects and keeping an eye on the possibility that mortgage rates will rise. They can lock-in their housing costs for five years while rates are at historic lows if they buy in this market.”

Residential housing prices remained stable within typical ranges for seasonal fluctuations. Prices for single family dwellings were down 2.2%, on average* from last month but up marginally (0.12%) from last year. Condominiums were priced down 3.2% from September but the same price ($11 difference) as a year ago. Overall, the average residential price in October was $318,969, down 2.5% from last month but up a third of a percent from 2008. Single family dwellings sold for $363,694 and condos sold, on average, for $237,601.

There were 2,205 homes listed on the MLS® System in October with 1,535 sales for a sales-to-listing ratio of 70%. The total value of residential sales in October was $490 million and total MLS® System sales (including rural and commercial properties) is up over last year for the year-to-date to over $6.18 billion. Total available inventory was 5,530 homes which is a typical 3.5 month supply. Homes sold on average in 47 days (44 in September but 58 in October 2008).

“Good looking homes in the average price range always sell quickly,” said Ponde. “Less desirable homes may take a little longer to find a buyer and home sales at the upper price ranges are steady. It is important to consult your REALTOR® to devise a strategy for buying or selling a home to ensure you get the latest market and neighbourhood information.”

Source: REALTORS® Association of Edmonton

An apocalyptic real estate bubble is striking fear in the hearts of many economists.

Some of you might have heard how the Toronto market has become a seller’s market.  A large number of the new listing coming on the market are receiving multiple offers, and people have even gotten creative by including videos with their written offers pleading for their offer to be accepted.

Well we are a long way from that here in Edmonton.  The Edmonton marketplace has been strong in comparison to the rest of Canada for well over 18 months.  The listing to sales ratio is hovering around th 3:1 at this time, which indicates that there might me still some upward pressure on valuations, but we are far from becoming a hot market.

The number of new listings coming on the market has kept pace with the sales, and until that changes we can expect the market to remain fairly stable.

To view the complete report with specifics on your region click on the following link: http://www.edmontonhomesforsale.biz/view_special_reports.php

With the worst of the recession over, residential real estate markets in major Canadian centres are poised for growth in the final quarter of 2009, according to a report released today by RE/MAX. 

The RE/MAX Bricks and Mortar Report found the bounce back that began in early Spring has made this recession one of the shortest on record.  Low interest rates, pent-up demand, and improved affordability levels have all played a role in the recovery now well-underway.  Percentage increases in unit sales from January to August 2009 were led by Vancouver, (up a substantial 14 per cent to 23,158), Victoria (up 7.4 per cent to 5,266), Edmonton (up 6.2 per cent to 13,691), Regina (up five per cent to 2,597), Ottawa (up 2.4 per cent to 10,830) and Toronto (up 1.8 per cent to 58,421).  Housing values are already ahead of record-breaking 2008 levels in seven of the 11 markets surveyed, including Newfoundland-Labrador (18.1 per cent year to $203,584), Regina (6.4 per cent to $244,088), Halifax-Dartmouth (3.5 per cent to $239,633), Winnipeg (3.5 per cent to $207,006), Ottawa (3.3 per cent to $301,684), and Toronto (up 0.3 per cent to $385,978).  Nationally, average price hovers at $312,585, up 0.5 per cent over one year ago.

 The strength of the residential housing sector cross-country has taken many economists and housing analysts by surprise once again.  In terms of its impact on the resale market, by historical standards, this recession was one of the mildest.  The resilience of bricks and mortar has been demonstrated time and again.  While there may still be some challenges down the road, the worst is definitely behind us in the housing industry.

 The recovery of Canada’s resale housing markets speaks to the tremendous value Canadians place on the importance of owning a home.  The number of Canadians overall who own a home has increased since 1981 from 62.1 per cent to 68.4 per cent, with some markets posting even higher homeownership rates — Calgary (74.1), St. John’s (71.5), and Regina (70.1).  Significant gains have also been made over the same period in markets such as Ottawa, where levels rose from 51.4 per cent to 66.7 per cent, and Toronto, where levels rose from 57.3 to 67.6 per cent.

 Public sentiment can perhaps best be illustrated by a recent Angus Reid Omnibus Survey* that asked the question “In which do you feel more comfortable investing your money?  The stock market or real estate.”  Out of 1,000 respondents from coast-to-coast, 77 per cent chose real estate. The results of the RE/MAX Bricks and Mortar Report are clearly representative of this national dynamic at work.

 Markets are heating up across the country as purchasers take advantage of affordable prices and rock bottom interest rates.  Those who missed the boat in years past have found that sitting on the sidelines can be a costly move.  Prices are on the upswing and inventory levels are tightening, so the push toward homeownership is expected to continue throughout the Fall and possibly into early 2010.

 Over the past thirty years, the Canadian residential real estate market has experienced three major downturns – 1981, 1989, and 2008.  While there have also been regional fluctuations throughout the years, return on investment over this period has been substantial, with Vancouver, Victoria, Toronto, Regina and Ottawa leading the country in terms of price appreciation.

The overall stability of real estate as an investment has also played a role. Markets like Halifax-Dartmouth, Regina, Ottawa, Winnipeg and London have provided steady returns (especially in recent years), with minimal fluctuation.

 * The Angus Reid Omnibus Survey was conducted on September 15, 2009 and yields a margin of error of +3.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

I guess we can be happy with the thought that the market seems to be stabilizing.  My concern is with the market stabilizing it will not take much for the market to go either way up or down depending on what might be in the news that week…

As of this morning there were 2,098 active single family homes on the market in Edmonton proper.  Again a relatively consistent number with what we have seen in the last few weeks.  The number that is somewhat worrisome is the number of sales.  In the last 30 days there were 658 single family homes sold.  That is a number that is has been declining of the last few weeks.

With the current listings and sales that give us a listings/sales ratio of 3.2:1.  That is a slight increase over last week.  So as this number continues to increase that would be an indicator that the market is softening.  

I am hoping that is just a seasonal softening of the market which normal.  On a brighter side of the homes that did sell the average days on market are 38.

This is also an indicator that if a property has been on the market longer than that it is properly over-priced.  Even in today’s market the very best deals are selling in the first 3 days of them hitting the market.

So in order to get the best deal if you are thinking about buying would be to contact Kate at 780-634-8151 so she can set up a search that will allow you to receive the homes that would match your criteria the moment they are listed and you can take advantage to view this deals before they are sold to another buyer.

Wow is all I can say about last week.  I was really busy all week listing, showing and selling homes.  However the statistics would be a little different then what I experienced last week.

One of the things that I did notice last week was the number of homes that were taken off the market where their listing contracts had expired.  Even with the new listings coming to the market I noticed that the amount of listings available is down with 2, 095 single family dwellings available for sale in Edmonton proper.

In the last 30 days there were 678 single family dwellings sold in Edmonton proper.  Also a drop from the previous few weeks.  With the listings and sales we are experiencing that would give us a listing to sales ratio of 3.1:1 which to me indicates that the market values are starting to stabilize.

The next few weeks are going to be critical to determine is we area going to remain stable or if we are going to see a decline in house valuations.  It is apparent to see that the local and global economies are still not recovering to the levels and that is making people concerned and hesitant in moving forward with large purchases such as home.

There has been some strengthening in Alberta’s resale market, said Lai Sing Louie, regional economist for CMHC in Calgary. “We’re expecting that the second half (of the year) will be much stronger than the first half,” he said. Most markets in Alberta have turned into balanced ones, added Louie. In the first quarter, they were generally buyers’ markets. Louie said low mortgage rates have been a big factor in spurring residential sales. “Affordability has improved quite significantly,” he said. “We’ve also seen some government incentives to encourage first-time homebuyers and that’s helped. And I also believe that people who have been waiting to see how the markets move finally have the confidence now to go into the marketplace and buy.”
2010 average price forecast for Alberta $343,200.

Source: Calgary Herald – Friday, August, 28 2009

Edmonton, September 2, 2009: Residential sales through the Edmonton and Area Multiple Listing Service® in August were lower than the number posted in July but higher than sales the previous August. There were a total of 1,673 sales last month as compared to 2,277 in July (a monthly record) and 1,541 in August 2008.

“Although sales numbers cooled a bit after record sales in June and July, we are still experiencing the strength of the market in Edmonton,” said Charlie Ponde, president of the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. “Our members continue to report high buyer interest. Although sales in the fall are slower than the spring, buyers are looking for a home and sellers can reach them through the MLS® System.”

Prices for Single Family Dwellings climbed steadily all year and peaked in July at $372,741. The average* SFD sold for $366,788 in August, down 1.6 percent from the previous month. The current price is just $2,400 lower than average prices in August 2008.

Condominium prices were also down in August; dropping less than one percent to $242,035 on average in August from $244,265 in July. By comparison, the average price for a condo in August 2008 was $251,048. The average price has come down because of the increased amount of lower priced product that has entered the market rather than the value of a particular property being marked down.

Duplex and row house properties sold on average for $294,007 and the combined Average Residential Price was $318,321 in August; down 3.3% from $329,207 in August 2008.

“Our market is operating normally,” said Ponde. “There is a balance between buyers’ and sellers’ expectations and, while prices fluctuate seasonally, there are no major price swings. The strong inventory and activity levels result in moderation and stability.”

The average days-on-market was 48 in August; up two days from July. At the end of August there were 6,445 residential properties active on the MLS® System.

Highlights of MLS® System activity

¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
². Single Family Dwelling
³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices

* Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect actual prices, which may vary

Source: Realtors Association of Edmonton

New in Canada’s Economic Action Plan

Through Canada’s Economic Action Plan, the federal government will introduce a First-Time Home Buyers’ Tax Credit (HBTC) to help with the purchase of a first home. This measure is expected to cost $30 million in 2008-2009, $175 million in 2009-2010 and $180 million in 2010-2011. 

About the Initiative

The HBTC will assist first-time homebuyers with the costs associated with the purchase of a home, such as legal fees, disbursements and land transfer taxes, which are a particular burden for first-time homebuyers, who must also save for a down payment.

The $5,000 non-refundable HBTC amount will apply to qualifying homes acquired after January 27, 2009, and will provide up to $750 in federal tax relief.

A qualifying home is generally considered to be a housing unit located in Canada that the individual or individual’s spouse or common-law partner intends to occupy as the principal place of residence no later than one year after its acquisition.

Any unused portion of an individual’s HBTC may be claimed by the individual’s spouse or common-law partner. When two or more eligible individuals jointly purchase a home, the credit may be shared but the total credit amount claimed cannot exceed $5,000.

How It Works

First-time homebuyers purchasing a home will be able to claim the HBTC on their income tax returns, starting in 2009. Claimants should ensure that documentation supporting the purchase transaction is available if requested by the Canada Revenue Agency. Claimants are also responsible for making sure that all applicable eligibility conditions are met. 

Who Is Eligible

First-time homebuyers are eligible. An individual is considered a first-time homebuyer if neither the individual nor the individual’s spouse or common-law partner owned and lived in another home in the year of the home purchase or in any of the four preceding calendar years. Special rules apply for the purchase of homes that are more accessible or better suited to the personal needs and care of an individual who is eligible for the Disability Tax Credit. In these situations, the HBTC can be claimed, even if the first-time homebuyer requirement is not met. 

How to Find Out More

For more information, please visit the Department of Finance Canada website or the Canada Revenue Agency website.