Archive for the ‘Forecast’ Category

Why Jim Flaherty’s mortgage rules won’t hurt homebuyers

Thursday, February 18th, 2010

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This won’t hurt a bit, homebuyers.

The mortgage rule changes announced Tuesday by Financial Minister Jim Flaherty will weigh a bit on real estate speculators and heavily indebted people who want to fold their high-rate credit card debt into a lower-rate mortgage. But for rank and file homebuyers, the changes will barely be perceptible when they take effect on April 19.

“This should have a limited impact on what I see daily,” mortgage broker Peter Majthenyi said in an e-mail he fired off after Mr. Flaherty’s announcement. “I believe it’s more a message that ‘Big Brother’ is watching and cares.”

Olympics aside, the favourite Canadian diversion of the moment is to debate whether there is a bubble in the housing market. Those most worried about the housing market plunging have urged Mr. Flaherty to raise the minimum down payment for a home and reduce the maximum payback period.

But the 35-year amortization, favourite of first-time buyers across this land, remains. So does the 5-per-cent down payment, which is heavily relied upon in high-cost cities like Vancouver, Calgary and Toronto.

All the measures announced by Mr. Flaherty affect mortgages covered by government-backed mortgage insurance, where the buyer puts less than 20 per cent down. The key change for typical home buyers is that, regardless of what term or type of mortgage they choose, they’ll have to be able to afford the five-year rate.

This is a sensible way of building some slack into the system as we look ahead to a cycle of rising interest rates. If someone chooses a variable-rate mortgage, where the interest rate can be as low as 2 to 2.25 per cent today, they’ll have to be able to handle the payment at the current five-year rate. Right now, the posted rate at the big banks is 5.39 per cent.

You won’t have to actually make the higher payments required by the five-year mortgage. You’ll just have to theoretically be able to carry them and still remain within the limitations lenders set out on how much of your gross income can be consumed by debt (it’s 42 to 44 per cent, just so you know).

Mortgage brokers report that a lot of lenders were already ensuring clients could afford the payments on a three-year mortgage. So bumping up that up to a five-year term will only have a marginal effect.

“Are we going to see the odd borrower have to come up with more money or not buy they house they want? Absolutely,” Mr. Majthenyi said. “But will it have a dramatic effect? No.”

Another reason why the changes won’t be jarring is that a huge number of homebuyers are actually choosing five-year mortgages these days. A study issued by the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals last month showed that fixed-rate mortgages accounted for 86 per cent of mortgages in set up in 2009 and, of those, 70 per cent were for a five-year term.

People who borrow to buy investment properties to either flip for a quick profit or to generate income are also affected by Tuesday’s announcement. If you buy a property you’re not going to live in, then you’ll have to put down a minimum 20 per cent to qualify for mortgage insurance. That’s up from 5 per cent.

But Mr. Majthenyi said not all lenders even require clients to have mortgage insurance if they put 20 per cent down. He also said that stiff mortgage insurance premiums already discouraged people from putting 5 per cent down on an investment property.

“In my office of 10 brokers, I don’t think I know of one client we’ve processed on a high-ratio rental property,” he said.

The final mortgage change restricts the ability of existing homeowners to refinance their mortgages to take on more debt. The new ceiling is 90 per cent of the value of your home, compared to the current 95 per cent.

Mortgage broker Jas Grewal said one group that will be affected by this is recent buyers who made a small down payment and are struggling with high credit card balances and other debts. By folding these debts into their mortgage, they can reduce their interest rate from as high as 19 per cent down to something closer to 3 or 4 per cent.

“Let’s say you put 10 per cent down – if we go from 95 to 90 per cent, you’re not going to be able refinance,” Mr. Grewal said. “You’re going to have to wait until your house value goes up and gives you some equity.”

Source: Rob Carrick of the Globe and Mail (www.TheGlobeandMail.com)

Real estate market surging

Thursday, February 4th, 2010

Early signs indicate that Canada’s hot real estate market surged again in January. Among the cities to report data, sales rose an average of more than 60 per cent, and prices more than 14 per cent, from a year earlier in Toronto, Calgary, Edmonton and Ottawa, BMO Nesbitt Burns said. In Toronto, sales jumped 87 per cent and prices 19 per cent. Earlier this week, the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver reported that, excluding apartment properties, sales rose 141 per cent in January from a year earlier, and prices 19.5 per cent.

www.TheGlobeandMail.com

Housing prices remain stable in January: listing activity doubles

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

Edmonton, February 2, 2010: Single family homes sold through the Edmonton Multiple Listing Service® System sold on average for the same amount in January as at year-end while condominium prices dipped 2%. Month-to-month sales slowed by 6.8% as compared to December but the number of new listings in January doubled the December numbers. 

The average* residential price was $314,783 for January, down 1.4% from last month and down just 0.7% from a year ago. Single family home prices on average were stable increasing minutely from $366,761 in December to $367,747 in January. Condominium prices dipped just 2% in the month from $244,174 to $239,006. Duplex and rowhouse prices were up 1.5% to $300,563.

“There will be month-to-month fluctuations in prices for all types of properties,” said Larry Westergard, president of the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. “We expect that the local market will continue to be robust and prices will trend upwards through the year.”

Compared to December, housing sales were down in January with 524 single family sales and 288 condominium sales. Total residential sales were 884 units – 154 ahead of last January. There were 2,199 residential listings added during January resulting in a 40% sales-to-listing ratio and a month-end inventory of 4,864 homes. The average days-on-market was 57 days. Total sales (including residential, commercial and rural properties) in January were valued at $315 million (up 19% from last year).

“While the low prices may have motivated some buyers, the continuing low interest rates are probably a bigger factor for first time and repeat buyers,” said Westergard. “The inventory increase shows that current owners are poised to enter the market and to offer their homes for sale. Buyers and sellers should consult their REALTOR® to work out an appropriate strategy for their situation.”

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Highlights of MLS® activity

January 2010 activity

Record for
the month*

% change from
January 2009

Total MLS® System sales this month

990

24.20%

Value of total MLS® System sales – month

$315 million

18.70%

Value of total MLS® System sales – year

$315 million

18.70%

Residential¹ sales this month

884

21.10%

Residential average price

$314,783

-1.40%

SFD² average selling price – month

$367,747

4.20%

SFD median³ selling price

$356,000

1.30%

Condo average selling price

$239,006

0.10%

¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
². Single Family Dwelling
³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices

* Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect actual prices, which may vary.

Source: REALTORS® Association of Edmonton

When will interest rates rise?

Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

It can difficult to determine or predict when interest will go up.  But a survey done by MSN money came up with these results.  These are of course the opinion of people responding to a questionnaire on a website, and has no real scientific proof of when interest rates will go up.

  • 1. Spring   17%
  • 2. Summer  28%
  • 3. Fall  36%
  • 4. Not sure  19%

5284 responses, not scientifically valid, results updated every minute.

The 10 must-have features in today’s new homes

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

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Homebuyers want smaller houses and they are willing to strip some of yesterday’s most popular rooms-such as home theatres-from them in order to accommodate changing lifestyles, consumer experts told audiences at the International Builders Show here this week.

“This is a traumatic time in (the United States) and the future isn’t something we’re 100 per cent sure about now either. What’s left? The answer for most home buyers is authenticity,” said Heather McCune, director of marketing for Bassenian Lagoni Architects in Park Ridge, Ill.

Buyers today want cost-effective architecture, plans that focus on spaces and not rooms and homes that are designed ‘green’ from the outset,” she said. The key for homebuilders is “finding the balance between what buyers want and the price point.”

For many buyers, their next house will be smaller than their current one, said Carol Lavender, president of the Lavender Design Group in San Antonio, Texas. Large kitchens that are open to the main family living area, old-fashioned bathrooms with claw foot tubs and small spaces such as wine grottos are design features that will resonate today, she said.

“What we’re hearing is ‘harvest’ as a home theme-the feeling of Thanksgiving. It’s all about family togetherness-casual living, entertaining and flexible spaces,” Lavender said.

Paul Cardis, CEO of AVID Ratings Co., which conducts an annual survey of homebuyer preferences, said there are 10 “must” features in new homes:

1. Large kitchens, with an island. “If you’re going to spend design dollars, spend them where people want them-spend them in the kitchen,” McCune said. Granite countertops are a must for move-up buyers and buyers of custom homes, but for others “they are on the bubble,” Cardis said.

2. Energy-efficient appliances, high-efficiency insulation and high window efficiency. Among the “green” features touted in homes, these are the ones buyers value most, he said. While large windows had been a major draw, energy concerns are giving customers pause on those, he said. The use of recycled or synthetic materials is only borderline desirable.

3. Home office/study. People would much rather have this space rather than, say, a formal dining room. “People are feeling like they can dine out again and so the dining room has become tradable,” Cardis said. And the home theatre may also be headed for the scrap heap, a casualty of the “shift from boom to correction,” Cardis said.

4. Main-floor master suite. This is a must feature for empty-nesters and certain other buyers, and appears to be getting more popular in general, he said. That could help explain why demand for upstairs laundries is declining after several years of popularity gains.

5. Outdoor living room. The popularity of outdoor spaces continues to grow, even in Canada, Cardis said. And the idea of an outdoor room is even more popular than an outdoor cooking area, meaning people are willing to spend more time outside.

6. Ceiling fans.

7. Master suite soaker tubs. Whirlpools are still desirable for many home buyers, Cardis said, but “they clearly went down a notch,” in the latest survey. Oversize showers with seating areas are also moving up in popularity.

8. Stone and brick exteriors. Stucco and vinyl don’t make the cut.

9. Community landscaping, with walking paths and playgrounds. Forget about golf courses, swimming pools and clubhouses. Buyers in large planned developments prefer hiking among lush greenery.

10. Two-car garages. A given at all levels; three-car garages, in which the third bay is more often than not used for additional storage and not automobiles, is desirable in the move-up and custom categories, Cardis said.

Source: Steve Kerch of Marktwatch (Yourhome.ca)

Home resales end’09 with a roar

Tuesday, January 19th, 2010

Average price up 19% nationally in December, but just 2.65% locally

 

Sales and prices of existing homes in Canada soared in December, capping a whirlwind 2009 that began weakly and then went on to set record highs for prices, and further stirring debate of a housing bubble.

The Canadian Real Estate Association said Friday that a total of 27,722 homes changed hands in December, up 72 per cent from the same month in 2008, when activity ground almost to a halt in the wake of the global financial crisis.

“Sales activity in 2009 came in like a lamb and went out like a lion,” said CREA President Dale Ripplinger.

CREA said the national average price in December rose to $337,410, up 19 per cent year-over-year. For the year as a whole, the national average price climbed five per cent from 2008 to a record $320,333.

In the Edmonton region, the average residential price in December was $319,201, up 2.65 per cent year-over-year. For the year as a whole, Edmonton’s average price for a single-family home was $364,032 while the average for a condo was $240,322.

After the slowest start since 1996, resales in the Edmonton region reached 19,139 residential sales in 2009 to beat the forecast from the Realtors Association of Edmonton.

The Canadian association reiterated that the national average price was skewed due to activity in Canada’s priciest markets.

Year-to-date activity was still trailing 2008 levels at the end of September 2009, but a 59-per-cent year-over-year gain in the fourth quarter, the best ever, pushed 2009 sales activity above annual levels for 2008, it said.

The robust figures continue to show the housing sector is leading the overall domestic economy out from a long downturn. But the housing market’s strength has also been at the centre of a debate over whether a bubble in sector is forming.

“The raft of data will do nothing to quell talk of a bubble, talk that the Bank of Canada and the Canadian Real Estate Association have studiously downplayed,” said Doug Porter, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.

“And, before we officially jump on the bubble bandwagon, we would again point out that the reported price change is skewed by the surge in Vancouver and Toronto sales.”

The Bank of Canada, ahead of its interest rate decision next Tuesday, said this week it was premature to talk about such a possibility, a view echoed by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty on Friday.

“I do not see evidence of a bubble right now, but we’re going to keep watching. There are some steps we can take, that we will take if necessary,” Flaherty said Friday.

He pointed to tools the government could use to cool the market, including raising credit requirements for insured mortgages, ensuring cautious lending practices, and reducing the maximum amortization periods of mortgages.

Record-low interest rates have helped fuel the housing boom, while low supply and pent-up demand have also driven up prices.

But Scotia Capital economists Derek Holt and Karen Cordes said “dismissing housing risks is being a tad Pollyannaish.”

They said in a report that it was likely that housing will “experience a more sudden decline in activity in the back half of the year and into 2011.

“The drivers are pointing to signifi-cant softening in both the supply and demand supports, such that downside risks to house prices by 2011-12 are material and merit caution,” the economists wrote in a report.

CREA said December sales records were reported in Ontario, Quebec, Saskatchewan, New Brunswick, and Newfoundland and Labrador.

Average prices set annual records in a majority of local markets in 2009, and in every province except Alberta, the association said.

Seasonally adjusted national home sales totalled 46,805 units in December, concluding the strongest fourth quarter ever. A total of 137,957 homes were sold on a seasonally adjusted basis in the fourth quarter of 2009.

 

Edmonton Journal

What Edmonton wants in a home

Monday, January 18th, 2010

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Lori and Cliff Burlingame, holding blueprints of their home, are owners of Silvercliff Homes. Behind them are family members, some of whom now work for the company

Photograph by: Brian Gavriloff, The Journal, Freelance

 

More space leads wish list given to custom builders 

Build it — with creature comforts — and they will use it.

That’s what one Edmonton-area home builder has noticed as buyers in the greater Edmonton region are opting for more luxury-like features in today’s new homes.

What are buyers looking for? In short, more space.

And here’s how they’re using it: There’s virtually a bathroom for every bedroom, they’re adding more than just the one traditional walk-in closet, they’re selecting a variety of home entertainment settings — rooms uniquely designed for fun and games — and they’re selecting imaginative ways to camouflage kitchen storage.

“A lot of our homes are being built around entertaining,” says Cliff Burlingame, who along with his wife Lori runs Silvercliff Homes, an Edmonton-area custom home builder. “That’s the lifestyle now. There are games rooms, home theatres, larger living rooms and larger, open-concept kitchens where they can entertain more.”

But while the number of bedrooms remains roughly the same compared with homes they’ve constructed before, one trend Silvercliff is noticing is that extra closet space is a hot item, as are additional bathrooms — and this includes average-size family homes, not just the executive homes, they build.

“A lot of them are doing walk-in closets in all the bedrooms; that is quite a big thing,” says Lori. “We haven’t really noticed more bedrooms; if anything, there’s more bathrooms being attached to the kids’ bedrooms.”

It’s all a far cry from what the Burlingames have noticed in years past, where houses they worked on — renovations formed a larger part of their work back then — weren’t as distinctive when it came to upgrades as they are today.

The couple have home building in their blood — Cliff has been in construction for more than 30 years, while Lori handles the interior design end of the business as she has from Day 1. They believe in a personal approach, walking their clients through the building process to provide a home — be it a starter or an executive model — that meets the buyer’s desires. As the contractor, they organize and supervise the project, simply charging a fee for their involvement. As for the materials involved, they pass on their builder pricing — with no markups — to their clients.

Popular features

“Back in the ’90s it wasn’t like it is now,” says Lori. “Today, it’s more upscale and more money is being spent; they’re doing the extras like more expensive fixtures and upgrading cabinets. The kitchens have more gadgets; there’s lots of little niches for espresso machines and instant hot water taps and every home has a garburator now — in the ’90s, it was just more in upper-end homes.”

That, however, is just the tip of the proverbial iceberg when it comes to customizing homes for current buyers, be they young or old.

“If they’re not happy, we’re not happy,” says Cliff, who now counts his son Chase and daughters Brandi and Paige as part of the Silvercliff team.

Other popular new-home items include forced walkouts, double bathrooms and elaborate coffered ceilings, examples of which can be found in the Burlingames’ current home on the southwestern outskirts of Edmonton, in Leduc County.

Their custom-designed bungalow offers 2,430 square feet on the main floor and another 2,430 square feet in the fully finished basement, which Cliff notes is also a prevalent trend.

“A lot of people want finished basements,” says Cliff. “It all depends on affordability, but it’s a popular item.”

On the main level, the Burlingames’ home has formal and informal living spaces that are defined by various ceiling types, from barrel to cross-beam to coffered, all with diverse lighting effects.

The kitchen features a massive centre island with a country-style sink, raised eating bar and lower baking centre, and is also home to an intriguingly huge hidden pantry. At first glance, no one would ever know that part of the custom cabinetry is actually a cleverly hidden door that opens to a massive out-of-sight pantry.

Just off from the kitchen is a home office, but this one comes with a distinctive and useful Silvercliff twist.

“Probably 80 per cent of our clients nowadays have some sort of home-based business or work, so we tend to have offices in almost all of our houses,” Cliff says. “But we like to build the office so it can be converted from a study into a bedroom.”

He says this is quite useful as a family’s needs can change over the years.

Silvercliff creates this dual-purpose room by recessing a pocket in the wall to accommodate part of the buyer’s office furniture, be it bookcases or a shelving unit. Initially, the recessed area takes on a customized look once the office furniture is in place. When it’s time to convert, the furniture is removed and there is minimal construction to transform that portion into a closet by finishing it off with a set of double doors.

Downstairs, the Burlingames have incorporated a forced walkout. As opposed to traditional walkouts where lots are sloped, Silvercliff is able to include a walkout on traditional flat lots with a typical below ground basement.

By erecting six-foot concrete walls to keep the dirt from falling inward, they’re able to create an area where you can walk out of from the basement onto a patio, which then has a number of steps upwards to reach ground level.

“We’re basically putting retaining walls around your walkout area,” says Cliff. “And because of the retaining walls, it gives you a lot more privacy.”

The double bathroom, meanwhile, is something that originally just made sense for Cliff and Lori, who came up with the idea to make it easier to live with three kids growing up. In actuality, the double bathroom is really one bathroom but divided into two areas by a locking door. On one side, there are double sinks while on the other side of the door, there’s a bathtub, shower and the toilet, allowing more than one of the now grown up kids to use the bathroom at a time.

“It’s become really popular and now we build it all the time. It’s really ideal,” Cliff says. “One can be showering and one can be putting on makeup and they’re in two different rooms but in one spot.”

In fact, the features in their house, including the dramatic and comfortable home theatre and the separate games room with its pool table and hockey memorabilia, are so in demand that three other clients want Silvercliff to build them the exact same house, just in different locations.

On average, Silvercliff likes to limit the number of homes it builds to about half a dozen a year. This, says Cliff, makes it easier to focus on the quality and workmanship of the homes they construct.

Understanding house prices

Friday, January 15th, 2010

A home may be one of the biggest investments you ever make. Saving up a down payment is just the first step. Find out more.

 

What factors affect the value of a home?

  • Location: Real estate people always say “Location, location, location.” That’s because the area you live in will be the biggest factor affecting your home’s price. It’s smart to buy a home where housing prices are likely to increase. Also, the people who may buy your home from you one day may be willing to pay more for a home that is close to schools, sports centres, stores, services, and so on. Keep that in mind as you look.
  • The condition of the home and the property it is on: Does the home need a lot of repairs? How is the roof, plumbing, and electrical wiring? A home in good repair may be worth more. Also, the condition of the outside of the home, the lawn, gardens, driveway, and trees will all affect the value of a home. These are the first things that buyers see, and are together known as curb appeal.
  • Renovations and updates: An older home might need some work to keep it safe, modern, and comfortable. If you are buying at a home that has had some renovations, check the quality. When you do work on a home you own, do it as well as you can. Poor work can lower the value.
  • The economy: There are some things you can’t control that affect house prices, like interest rates. Higher interest rates mean it costs more for a mortgage, so fewer people buy homes. When that happens, the prices of homes can fall. Lower interest rates, on the other hand, can boost buying and drive prices up. House prices often go up for a while, and then come down a bit. Try to find out as much as you can about how prices are changing, or may change, when deciding to buy or sell a home. Often there will be stories in the paper about housing prices.

How much is my home worth today?

If you’re considering buying a home, or you just bought one, you know how much it’s worth. But if you’ve owned your home for a while, its value has probably changed. Here’s how you can find out how much it’s worth now:

  • Call a real estate agent: Ask them for an estimate of your home’s value. You may be able to get an agent to do this for free, because they hope to get your business in the future.
  • Ask an appraiser: Your bank or a real estate agent should know a number of appraisers. Banks use them to estimate house values before they approve mortgages. You can also look in the yellow pages. An appraiser will charge a fee for the service.
  • Check to see what other homes in your area have sold for recently: Compare your home with similar ones that have sold. Unless you keep up with what’s happening in your area, this information may be hard to get. Ask your real estate agent if you can’t find it yourself.

How much will my home be worth in the future?

To estimate a home’s future value, you will have to do some informed guessing. Start with finding out what has happened to prices in your location over several years.

City Price, 1990 Price, 2005 Total % increase, 1990-2005 Average % increase per year
Halifax 97,238 188,484 93.84% 6.26%
Saint John 78,041 119,718 53.40% 3.56%
Quebec City 81,462 141,485 73.68% 4.91%
Montreal 111,197 203,720 83.21% 5.55%
Ottawa 141,562 248,358 75.44% 5.03%
Toronto 254,890 336,176 31.89% 2.13%
Windsor 106,327 163,001 53.30% 3.55%
Greater Sudbury 108,596 134,440 23.80% 1.59%
Winnipeg 81,740 137,062 67.68% 4.51%
Saskatoon 76,008 144,787 90.49% 6.03%
Calgary 128,484 250,832 95.22% 6.35%
Vancouver 226,385 425,745 88.06% 5.87%
         

Source: Canadian Real Estate Association (MLS®)

Remember: There’s no guarantee what housing prices will do

Location and the condition of the home are both important factors, as is the economy as a whole.

Real estate market too hot: Analysts

Monday, January 11th, 2010

 

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A sold sign is displayed in front of a home in Toronto December 15, 2009. A red-hot housing market fueled by cheap money has helped Canada climb out of recession, but fears are growing that it could be a bubble much like the one that brought the United States to its knees.

 

OTTAWA – As Canada’s red-hot real estate market shows no signs of slowing down in 2010, analysts are beginning to caution some buyers that their best move may be to step to the sidelines.

“If you’re somebody in a situation that you have only five per cent down and you’re stretching to get in the market with a 35-year amortization, I think that would be a very precarious situation right now,” said BMO Capital market economist Robert Kavcic.

Conversely, he said, “if you’re sitting on a pile of cash and looking to move into the real estate market, it would almost be a no-brainer to just wait for lower prices.”

Notes of caution simmered to the surface this week after realtor Royal LePage forecast home prices would continue to “appreciate significantly” during the early months of the year. Already in 2009, they’re up 19 per cent, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association.

The trouble is that while prices are rising, incomes are not.

Yet rock-bottom borrowing costs continue to lure buyers, and investors are rushing in – despite a shortage of listings – for fear that if they don’t get into the market now, they’ll miss their chance.

“It’s absolutely not debatable that housing prices cannot rise faster than incomes over the long term,” said Will Strange, professor of real estate and urban economics at the Rotman School of Management.

Sooner or later, incomes have to rise, or home prices fall, for balance to be attained.

Many analysts argue that home prices are not yet out of line with the incomes it takes to pay for them, Strange said. Yet with the job market still weak, and unlikely to drive new employment and higher wages, odds are that if something’s got to give, it will be prices.

“If I didn’t personally have most of my wealth tied up in housing, this would not be the time that I would choose to jump in,” Strange cautioned.

At the same time, interest rates have nowhere to go but up, which could leave some buyers in a position similar to U.S. homeowners, who had houses worth less than their mortgages after the subprime bubble burst and prices crashed.

“We’re certainly urging people to error on the side of caution,” said Bruce Cran, president of the Consumers’ Association of Canada.

“If you’re paying an amount of money, whatever that might be, that you couldn’t sustain if interest rates rose by say 25 or 30 per cent – I can see that being a problem for a lot of people.”

Canada’s not headed for anything similar to the U.S. subprime mess because lending standards here are higher and because people can’t just walk away from their homes as they can in the U.S., other than in Alberta.

But there may yet be an economic impact if home prices turn down, as home values relate directly to the economy, fuelling spending as they rise and tightening personal budgets as they fall, Strange said.

For now, many observers are predicting, as does Royal LePage, that the market will find its balance later this year as rates rise and more listings come on the market.

In the meantime, there are still many good reasons to buy a house, Strange said, “but don’t buy it because you think the price is going to go up.”

Real estate market expected to remain strong in first half of 2010

Thursday, January 7th, 2010

TORONTO — Canada’s residential real estate market is expected to remain unusually strong through the first half of this year after a strong finish to 2009, according to a survey published Thursday by Royal LePage.

The Royal LePage analysis is consistent with other recent reports on the state of the Canadian real estate market, which has rebounded over the past 12 months after sales dried up in late 2008 and hit a multi-year low in January 2009.

The Canadian market’s sudden plunge was sparked by a credit crunch that originated in the U.S. housing and lending industries – eventually spreading globally, causing a worldwide recession in the late summer and early fall of 2009.

However, the Canadian real estate market has been much quicker to recover than its American counterpart, in part because of a more stable banking industry, historically low interest rates and improving consumer confidence.

Royal LePage executive Phil Soper says Canada’s real estate market enters 2010 with “considerable momentum from an unusually strong finish to the previous year.”

The stimulus effect of low borrowing costs has contributed to a sharp rise in demand that has driven activity to new highs, he said in a statement.

Royal LePage says house prices appreciated in late 2009, with fourth-quarter price averages higher than in the fourth quarter of 2008.

The average price of detached bungalows rose to $315,055 (up six per cent), the price of a standard two-storey home rose to $353,026 (up 5.2 per cent), and the price of a standard condominium rose to $205,756 (up 6.4 per cent).

Regions that saw the strongest declines during the recession are now showing marked gains. Those regions include Toronto and the Lower Mainland, B.C.

Vancouver, which is frequently Canada’s most expensive real estate market, experienced a particularly robust quarter, with home prices rising across all housing types surveyed.

“No other sector of the economy has been as highly affected by economic stimulus as housing,” said Soper.

“As consumer confidence has improved, Canadians have shown a lingering reluctance to acquire depreciating assets such as consumer durables, but have embraced the opportunity to invest in real property.”

Royal LePage estimates that Vancouver’s real estate prices will rise a further 7.2 per cent this year, although February may be soft because of the Olympic Winter Games that will be held in the city and nearby Whistler, B.C.

Detached bungalows in Vancouver sold for an average of $828,750 in the fourth quarter, up 11.4 per cent from the same period last year. Standard condominiums in Vancouver went up 11.8 per cent year-over-year to an average of $452,750. Prices of standard two-storey homes in Vancouver rose 9.6 per cent year-over-year, selling at $917,500.

In Toronto, the average price of a standard condo rose 2.9 per cent to $309,316, detached bungalows rose 9.9 per cent to $446,214 and standard detached homes increased 3.5 per cent to $564,175.

In Montreal, the average price of a detached bungalow rose to $245,125 (up 3.1 per cent; a condo increased to $216,667 (up 16 per cent) and a two-storey house increased 12.3 per cent from a year earlier to $345,789, Royal LePage said.

The Greater Montreal Real Estate Board reported Thursday that the number of sales last year increased 41,802, up three per cent from 2008. The median price of a single-family home was $235,000 last year, up four per cent from 2008.

“Although sales decreased the first four months of 2009, Montreal’s real estate market rebounded and finished the year on a positive note,” said Michel Beausejour, the Montreal board’s chief executive.

The group that represents Toronto-area realtors reported Wednesday that there were 87,308 transactions last year through the Multiple Listing Service, a 17 per cent increase over 2008.

In December, there were 5,541 sales in the Greater Toronto Area (average price $411,931), up from 2,577 sales in December 2008 (average price $361,415), according to the Toronto Real Estate Board.

The Toronto board also said the number of sales of existing homes rebounded in the latter half of 2009 after a slow start at the beginning of last year.

Royal LePage’s average price estimates for other Canadian cities include:

-St. John’s, N.L.: Detached bungalow, $217,167 (up 14.3 per cent); standard two-storey house $298,833 (up 14.1 per cent).

-Halifax: Detached bungalow, $238,000 (up 10.7 per cent); standard two-storey homes, $265,333 (up 1.8 per cent).

-Charlottetown: Detached bungalow, $160,000 (up 1.9 per cent); standard two-storey $195,000 (up 3.7 per cent).

-Saint John, N.B.: Detached bungalow, $228,000 (up 1.3 per cent); standard two-storey $299,000 (up 1.5 per cent).

-Moncton, N.B.: Detached bungalow, $152,300 in the fourth quarter (up 1.5 per cent); standard two-storey home, $131,000 (up 4.0 per cent)

-Fredericton: Detached bungalow, $182,000 (up 12.3 per cent); standard two-storey, $210,000 (unchanged).

-Ottawa: Detached bungalow, $332,417 (up 3.4 per cent); standard two-story home $331,917 (up 3.7 per cent).

-Winnipeg: Detached bungalow, $241,650 (up 9.9 per cent); standard two-storey home $275,500 (up 10 per cent).

-Edmonton: Detached bungalow, $299,286 (down 0.7 per cent); standard two-storey home, $340,557 (down 1.2 per cent)

-Calgary: Detached bungalow, $412,478 (up 0.5 per cent); standard two-storey home, $427,067 (up 2.3 per cent).

By David Paddon Copyright © 2010 The Canadian Press

The data included on this website is deemed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate by the REALTORS® Association of Edmonton. The trademarks REALTOR®, REALTORS® and the REALTOR® logo are controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Used under license.