Edmonton Real Estate Blog

Should we be surprised??

Wow it is amazing how quickly the market can change.  Maybe we should not be so surprised, as I was astounded at how quickly the market changed back in May/June 2007.

In the recent weeks in working with buyers for homes under $350,000 it has been a real challenge.  If they were nice homes and priced well they were either sold or by the time we had a chance to write up an offer we were competing with other offers.  As usual, with multiple offers the homes end up selling for more than they were asking for originally.

At the time of my writing this article (June 03, 2009) in Edmonton proper there are 2,289 single family homes listed for sale.  In the past 30 days there has been 1,028 single family sold in Edmonton proper.  That would give us a listing to sales ratio of 2.23:1. 

In the last several weeks that ratio has dropped even further every week and is well below the 4:1 ratio we need in Edmonton for a balanced market.  So there is no doubt in my mind that valuations are rising and they are rising at a rate much higher than the average selling price is rising.  Remember there is a big difference between average selling price and valuations.

Average selling price reflects what the average individual is willing and capable of paying for a home.  Most people go to their bank or mortgage broker and find out how much of a mortgage they can qualify for and that is what they go out and buy.

However, valuation is a reflection of what you are getting for that dollar and that is what is really changing.  If you are thinking of buying and waiting then you are going to end up with a lesser home for the same amount of money.  So you better act now before prices go up higher. 

This is even more important for someone who is thinking of upgrading to a bigger or more expensive home.  Think of it this way: Your home is worth $300,000 and the home you are going to buy is worth $500,000.  Valuations rise by 10% which would mean your home went up $30,000 in value.  This sounds appealing but the home you were going to buy has now gone up $50,000.  Waiting ultimately cost you $20,000 on your mortgage.

Also it should be noted that right now the greatest increases in valuations are homes under the $350,000 price range as it represents 56.81% of all the single family homes sold.  The second highest group is the $350,000 – $450,000 price range representing 26.07% of the single family homes sold.  And finally the over $450,000 price range representing 18.68 %

Even though at the moment the greatest increases are the homes under $350K, we will soon see the valuations of the higher price ranges start to increase as the sellers of these homes under $350K are now in the market in the higher price ranges. 

For those of you who have been following my blog (http://Blog.FindMyHouse.ca) you should not be surprised at what is currently happening, as I have been forecasting this for weeks!

Ultimately what I am saying is stop waiting for the bottom as it’s already come and gone,  and get out and buy now.

And that is my two cents… Serge

Tags: edmonton real estate, edmonton real estate statistics, Homes For Sale Edmonton, Real estate news